I used to work at a large European ISP and we have endless meetings for years about ASP( Application Service Providers) and how we could make money from renting application to users of our ISP.
Years later..still no one is really making money or taking advantage of the market there is out there.
I used to be into Citrix and thought that would eventually win a big market share but like many other great ideas...MS did real bad harm to their chances..I am into Linux but I feel that Linux needs a household name to bring it to the masses-its seen as a geeks tool still;( even though with releases such as Madrivia and Suse they are even more usable and user friendly than Winblows..with all the help you could ever need off-line and on-line so to say that there's no support for Linux is rubbish ( on a side note one day at work for a giggle we phoned technical support at MS in the USA with all our licence codes contracts etc for some technical support on server problem we knew the answer to-it was a simple problem requiring a patch and a reboot..it took me 3 phone calls lasting 35 mins and about 1 hour of net searching filling out on-line forms etc to get the answer we already knew..We did the same thing with Novell for support on Suse..withing 3 clicks on their webpage we had a local number-turned out to be 5 miles away, the guy couldn't help but transferred me over to the technical support in USA on the price of my local call!! got through to a guy who solved the problem in 10 mins who then transferred me back to the local agent who wanted to know if we were satisfied!!-now THATS service!!)
Google is more powerful than Citrix and Linux and are in a great place to challenge MS for the worlds biggest market- OS and Office.
I see on the boards here lots of rumours that Google are making their own OS...yes this is 95% on the cards!! and I am pretty confident it will be a Linux flavour
Google are being clever at the moment because all of these products are free to download atm..and look they are ALL betas.
What I am getting at is ...Google are making a TON of software right now..all from different teams that can be integrated together with Linux under the hood to create a very powerful and user friendly OS..especially if you've tested all the software years before like Gmail and Earth and have data stored on Googles servers already
Now comes the next step...all the Betas stop..you can only use them inside the Google OS..forcing you to download it or buy it..I see Google giving you the OS for free on a download..$15-20 on a cd and then here's the kicker...all the programs you are used to and rely on...you will need a Google account to use them..Then you will hire out the software you need on a monthly or yearly basis.
For the predicted amount of users it will have the payment per month could be really small like $2 or so..think of 50 million users spending $2 a month = $100mill a month X12 = $1200mill a year.And that just a conservative estimate..
I think the hardest thing for Google to do is to get a billing platform running not altering a Linux Os and bolting in all the Google apps..But hey Google have some real smart programmers and I hope this wouldn't be too problematic.
They have a market of millions just waiting for them to sort this out I am sure!! this hopefully will be the nail in the coffin for MS and Winblows!!!Remember there's been a market of millions waiting years now for Vista...and I think its no coincidence Gates has stepped down from overall control at MS..I think he sees what I see...BIG trouble on the horizon with Vista sales..Didnt I see the other day Ms allow a countries govt to buy all of its pirated copies of Winblows for $2 a head? look at MS chase the money
Imagine MS fighting Google-The rest of the Linux world and Apple for rights to your OS and applications.I think the lumbering beast that MS has become will have to retreat to its cave and sit on its ever dwindling pile of gold!
My thoughts on the future of the OS-Mark420


